Most observers judged as a failure the December meeting in Copenhagen of the Conference of Parties of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). But then the usual way of judging such meetings is to look for a communiqué that voices sweeping aspirations, such as the G-7 “decision” at L’Aquila last summer to limit global warming to 2 degrees centigrade. In reality, without any evidence of countries agreeing what is each one’s share of the burden, such proclamations are worthless. Better tiny steps on the ground than giant flights of rhetoric.
Tag Archives: Climate Change
Border Measures Could Make Climate Policy Better or — More Likely — Worse
The international press reports, “At Climate Talks, Danger to Free Trade Mounts.”
The Copenhagen negotiations have essentially failed to include, among the many topics covered, one that will be critical in the coming years: the question of import tariffs or other trade penalties that individual countries apply against the products of other countries that they deem too carbon-intensive. Such border measures are already in EU and US legislation (the Waxman-Markey bill, not yet passed by the Senate). Properly designed, they could turn out to be the missing instrument needed to get each country to cut emissions without fear of others taking unfair advantage, via leakage. More likely, national politics will turn them into protectionist barriers.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions Are Down in the Recession. So, Then, Is “Green GDP” Up?
Alan Krueger, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Affairs, suggested in a recent speech a useful metaphor to distinguish different kinds of economic indicators. Some indicators are like the gauges on the dashboard of the car — industrial production, unemployment, inflation and so on. They give the latest bits of information on the business cycle outlook, for businesspeople, government policy-makers, economic forecasters, and anyone else who wishes to follow such developments at high frequency. Many of these numbers are collected on a monthly basis. Other statistics are like the results of 10,000 mile checkups – the poverty rate, infant mortality, life expectancy, carbon emissions, natural resource depletion, the crime rate, traffic congestion, leisure time, and other measures of inequality, health, the environment and the quality of life. They supplement market-measured activity and are needed in order to get a comprehensive feel for welfare and the longer term sustainability of the economy. This second category of statistics is more often collected on an annual basis.