Category Archives: President Trump

Trump’s policies will predictably work to raise inflation

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November 11, 2024 – The two areas where Donald Trump worries me the most are US foreign policy and long-run damage to norms of truth, democracy, and respect for the rule of law.  But these areas are not top priorities for much of the American public.  Rather, voters are consistently reported to be most concerned with the economy.  They asked, “Are we better off than we were four years ago” and answered “no.”  This is itself remarkable, since four years ago would be November 2020, when covid deaths were running 10,000 per week and unemployment was 6.7 %, versus 4.1 % today. read more

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The Year 2020 in Three Phrases

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December 31, 2020 —  Consider the past year through the lenses of three phrases: “witch hunt,” “black swan,” and “exponential.”  Each of these terms is widely applied, but not necessarily in the most useful way.

  1. Witch hunt

Donald Trump has used the words “witch hunt” approximately once every three days on average during his presidency, just counting tweets alone.  It wasn’t just his impeachment trial, which ended with the Senate voting to acquit on February 5 of 2020. He continued during the year to use “witch hunt” to describe accusations that he mis-managed the Covid-19 response (April), inquiries into his tax returns (July), investigation into alleged criminal conduct at the Trump Organization (August), and other challenges. read more

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Biden is Better on Economics

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October 29, 2020 — In a few days, Americans will choose a president.  Polling suggests that voters favor former Vice-President Joseph Biden when it comes to social policy, foreign policy, the environment, and managing the pandemic, not to mention the question of personal character. But on economics, polls have reported that voters favored President Donald Trump, at least until recently.

A general impression that the US economy does better under Republicans is long-standing.  The facts do not support it, however. read more

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