A year ago, it occurred to me that if the popular blood lust against the financial sector was to be given vent, one could do worse than adopt a small (but global) tax on financial transactions. On August 27 it was reported that Adair Turner, head of the UK Financial Services Authority, had come out in support of just such an idea, arguing that the financial sector is too large. The Financial Times editorializes against the proposal, pointing out the importance of the sector to Britain, and arguing that “bonus-bashing is a distraction.” Willem Buiter is with Turner in believing that the financial sector is too large, but views the transactions tax as the wrong policy tool for the job.
It is worth recalling that more of the original goals of the bailout packages of a year ago have been attained than most commentators expected. First, the goal of preventing a depression in the general economy has apparently been accomplished — and without nationalization of the large banks. The Administration and the Fed always said that helping some undeserving financiers would be an undesirable but necessary side effect of the rescue plan You don’t punish someone who has been smoking in bed by allowing the resultant fire to burn down the block. Second, the goal of recouping a substantial share of the bailout costs has also begun to be realized — contrary to many cynical predictions — as banks repay loans to the Treasury and to the Federal Reserve, often at a profit to the taxpayer.
Nevertheless, it is indeed irksome that the banks have continued to pay out huge bonuses to their top employees, and to oppose the creation of a new US agency for financial consumer protection. So the public’s anger is understandable. Perhaps the transactions tax is indeed the right way to go. Our Treasury and others’ could really use the revenue, especially if they don’t recover full value on the money that has been put into rescuing financial institutions. Furthermore, the idea of shrinking the volume of transactions in financial markets nowadays looks much less likely to damage economic efficiency than we once believed.
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