Usury laws and Trump’s proposed cap on credit card interest rates

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Feb. 19, 2026  — Donald Trump, at Davos in January, proposed putting a 10 % cap on the interest rates that banks can charge on credit cards, a position favored by many Democrats, including progressives like Bernie Sanders.  Is it possible that this is an issue where his rhetoric about helping the little guy might be warranted by his actions, unlike with most of his policies?

So-called usury laws have a long history. Each of the three major monotheistic religions has restrictions on usury.  In 1641, the Massachusetts Bay Colony set the maximum legal interest rate that could be charged on a loan at 8%.  Moreover, populist politicians like attacking heartless banks. Most US states already have ceilings on the credit card interest rate.  (The Trump proposal is to tighten that limit, at the federal level.) read more

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Caligula Reincarnated

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February 6, 2026 — Each time we think we have exhausted the question of what explains the crazy things that Donald Trump says and does, he comes out with something even crazier, which sends us back to the puzzle anew.

The first conclusion, popular during Trump’s first presidency, was that his assertions were never meant to be taken literally.  But as he has followed through on a growing number of threats, from seeking revenge against political opponents to attacking Venezuela and kidnapping its president, this explanation has lost plausibility. read more

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Why didn’t Trump’s tariffs crash the economy in 2025?

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December 31, 2025 — As Donald Trump took office last January, most economists worried that he might adopt the high tariffs he had campaigned on, raising prices of consumer goods and inputs that US households and firms had to pay.  The result would be an increase in inflation, at the same time as a fall in real income.  As a supply shock, it would not be the sort of development that the Federal Reserve could counteract. The damage would be especially large if other countries chose to retaliate with tariffs of their own. read more

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